Scottish Championship REVIEW 25 Sep 2026: Livingston end Raith's home form with the goal they'd already shown their players on film

Four Championship fixtures were played on Friday 25 September, three of them going the way our pre-match consensus expected and the fourth turning into the day's most instructive result.

Andy Winter opened the scoring inside the first quarter-hour at Gayfield, and Rudi Molotnikov doubled Arbroath's lead just before half-time, turning in Jacob MacIntyre's ball from wide. Oliver Fisher pulled a goal back for Queen's Park with sixteen minutes left, but the visitors could not find an equaliser. Our consensus had made Arbroath favourites, and the home win matched it.

Sam Young's 20th-minute header from a Scott Bright corner was enough at Somerset Park, where Stenhousemuir held out for a 1-0 win at Ayr United. Stenhousemuir had been favourites in our consensus.

Paul Allan opened the scoring from the edge of the box in the 26th minute at the Caledonian Stadium, and Alfie Bavidge added a second after the break, turning in a low cross forty minutes later. Greenock Morton could not find a way back into it. Inverness Caledonian Thistle were favourites in our pre-match consensus and delivered.

Raith Rovers were favourites at Stark's Park, but Livingston won it in a thirteen-minute spell either side of the hour. Robbie Muirhead put the visitors ahead just after the restart, then converted a penalty on the hour after Raith conceded a handball in the box. Raith manager Dougie Imrie said afterwards he had shown his players the exact same kind of goal in analysis before the match: "it's the exact same goal as they've scored against us. Most of their goals this season are a cutback to the most prolific guy in their team standing free on the penalty spot." It was the one result of the day our model didn't see coming.